While some people still think that coronavirus is just another flu, people in Italy are going through a complete disaster and giving everyone else a preview of what we can expect in other parts of Europe and US.
Nice post. What platform do you use for the PUT options? Any comment on why you picked particularly those options?
Concerning stocks, I would just like to mention that as savings are so low a lot of money appears to be drawn into the market - some companies are still massively overvalued and might stay overvalued (e.g. utilities, pharmacies, etc.). There are risk factors: nobody will ring a bell at the bottom, we do not yet know which companies will survive, if all big ones will be bailed out etc.. In such a crisis there might not apply a "too big to fail". Just remembering the Lehman Brothers (though a different context) . That said, that is not a critic to your article, just my comment.
Warren Buffet - you must be aware that he is a value investor, he does not care much about short-term impact. Consequently you are not betting against his long-term opinion about Delta ;)
I use Interactive Brokers. Picked these because I expected the market to crash and some sectors suffer even more. It is interesting that a bit later Buffett changed his mind and also sold part of his airline stocks: "According to regulatory filings, Berkshire sold nearly 13 million Delta shares for about $314 million and roughly 2.3 million Southwest shares for about $74 million."
Jesus, what comments🤣 I hope mine will appear more serious.
First of all the issue is how bad it'll really be, I read a lot about it, my impression is you exaggerate a bit, especially with the lethality rate, the percentage is between 1 and 3 per cent, concerning almost only very old and weak people and those with asthma and similar diseases. But I agree, it's not just a flu.
If you really believe it'll be that bad I'd choose more agressive options. I wanted to buy an agreesive put last friday, finding out that I wasn't allowed to before signing such a stupid paper, as I live in Germany but was in Turkey then and just returned, it's too late. Now I'm not so sure, I guess the best opportunity passed. (50%+ in 3 days, in my case hedging a part of my losses)
For stock-picking your tips are good, I'd like to add other opportunities much less impacted, but who also lost a lot of value: Insurance companies like the German 'Allianz', 'Münchener Rück', 'Swiss Re' or 'Unilever', producing cosmetics, food, etc., always needed.
You are right about airlines, but we should add that the sharp drop in the oil-prices, caused mostly by Russia and Saudi-Arabia will help them on the other hand.
This is all engineered, to bring in a new monetary system. I told you before the system is broken. All currencies will be slaughtered and Cash oh thats infected too they will say, to get us on to cashless, Central Banks run this world, and debt is the scheme and the name of the game. When people wake up and learn whats real money not the paper or digits on the screen these investors like showing we will be better off. So sad when millionaires on paper really believe it. If you dont hold it, you dont own it. Get your gold and Silver, youll need it after this CVirus. Cant blame the virus on what was coming anyway. And we all knew it well some us do. This virus was out in November,
I knew already, I got prepared, when you study astrology you see into the future.... My prayers go out to Italy!
Nice post. What platform do you use for the PUT options? Any comment on why you picked particularly those options?
Concerning stocks, I would just like to mention that as savings are so low a lot of money appears to be drawn into the market - some companies are still massively overvalued and might stay overvalued (e.g. utilities, pharmacies, etc.). There are risk factors: nobody will ring a bell at the bottom, we do not yet know which companies will survive, if all big ones will be bailed out etc.. In such a crisis there might not apply a "too big to fail". Just remembering the Lehman Brothers (though a different context) . That said, that is not a critic to your article, just my comment.
Warren Buffet - you must be aware that he is a value investor, he does not care much about short-term impact. Consequently you are not betting against his long-term opinion about Delta ;)
I use Interactive Brokers. Picked these because I expected the market to crash and some sectors suffer even more. It is interesting that a bit later Buffett changed his mind and also sold part of his airline stocks: "According to regulatory filings, Berkshire sold nearly 13 million Delta shares for about $314 million and roughly 2.3 million Southwest shares for about $74 million."
Jesus, what comments🤣 I hope mine will appear more serious.
First of all the issue is how bad it'll really be, I read a lot about it, my impression is you exaggerate a bit, especially with the lethality rate, the percentage is between 1 and 3 per cent, concerning almost only very old and weak people and those with asthma and similar diseases. But I agree, it's not just a flu.
If you really believe it'll be that bad I'd choose more agressive options. I wanted to buy an agreesive put last friday, finding out that I wasn't allowed to before signing such a stupid paper, as I live in Germany but was in Turkey then and just returned, it's too late. Now I'm not so sure, I guess the best opportunity passed. (50%+ in 3 days, in my case hedging a part of my losses)
For stock-picking your tips are good, I'd like to add other opportunities much less impacted, but who also lost a lot of value: Insurance companies like the German 'Allianz', 'Münchener Rück', 'Swiss Re' or 'Unilever', producing cosmetics, food, etc., always needed.
You are right about airlines, but we should add that the sharp drop in the oil-prices, caused mostly by Russia and Saudi-Arabia will help them on the other hand.
It's a complicated world.
Stats about Italy are taken from here: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/ - so I am not making up anything myself. I just sent more $ to my stock account, might to some additional trades.
This is an interesting read as well: https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vQuHYLsCvNJuzydGL0H6hbRZhUhFeyYIku8HEg7ZIeZ9HRpzKMuJ0JpVXF46F9En466S2M5k82-GIa5/pub?from=timeline&isappinstalled=0&fbclid=IwAR0qpPKtFsZeA2DIUeIqdJLWOFKPpY74pR999KiSX080yH4lFeHL-zsqIKw
Shell's dividend is on P2P level, 11%...
Time to buy Shell or BP, this is a joke in the long run, people are idiots, panic, i could get a cough🤭
Yes, but the growth rate starts bending a bit, the second deviation is negative. But this doesn't mean it wont go on...
This is all engineered, to bring in a new monetary system. I told you before the system is broken. All currencies will be slaughtered and Cash oh thats infected too they will say, to get us on to cashless, Central Banks run this world, and debt is the scheme and the name of the game. When people wake up and learn whats real money not the paper or digits on the screen these investors like showing we will be better off. So sad when millionaires on paper really believe it. If you dont hold it, you dont own it. Get your gold and Silver, youll need it after this CVirus. Cant blame the virus on what was coming anyway. And we all knew it well some us do. This virus was out in November,
I knew already, I got prepared, when you study astrology you see into the future.... My prayers go out to Italy!